2
Groovy N Gray
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 74
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength78%
Delivery trend -9.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 23/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |