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4

Gotts Got It

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 97

Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 08/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 96 · 7f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 96 par8/04C7OR 96C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 29/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 93 · 6f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/04/2026 · OR 93 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 91 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 91 par18/05C7OR 91C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 90 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 90 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 15/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 90 · 6f110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 90 par15/06C7OR 90C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 92 · 6f 123 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 92 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 21/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 92 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 92 par21/07C7OR 92C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 11/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 100 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 100 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 31/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 91 · 6f110y 123 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 91 par31/08C8OR 91projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Presque Isle Downs?5th5th0
2026-08-11Presque Isle Downs?4th3rd+1
2026-07-21Presque Isle Downs?3rd2nd+1
2026-07-03Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-06-15Presque Isle Downs?3rd2nd+1
2026-06-01Presque Isle Downs?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/041/0621/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%

Delivery trend -6.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15
29/04/20264th13/266%40%-0.26
18/05/20264th8/158%50%-0.08
01/06/20264th20/10%50%+0.50
15/06/20263rd16/116%60%+0.44
03/07/20264th9/276%0%-0.76
21/07/20263rd14/126%50%+0.24
11/08/20264th9/153%25%-0.28
31/08/20265th15/261%0%-0.61