2
Showdown King
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 83
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength86%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 18/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |