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6

Straightoutadutton

11yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 90

Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

51%

Place Prob

37%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 21/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/07/2025 · OR 90 par21/07C7OR 90C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 13/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark13/08/2025 · OR 90 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 03/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 87 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark03/09/2025 · OR 87 par3/09C8OR 87C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 24/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 87 · 6f Fas 125 · below its mark24/09/2025 · OR 87 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 86 · 5f 123 · beat its mark08/10/2025 · OR 86 par8/10C8OR 86C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 16/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 90 · 6f 123 · below its mark16/06/2026 · OR 90 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 89 · 6f 123 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 89 par22/07C8OR 89C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 04/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 87 · 5f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 87 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 19/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 87 · 5f Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 87 par19/08C7OR 87projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Presque Isle Downs?2nd1st+1
2026-08-04Presque Isle Downs?1st0th+1
2026-07-22Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-06-16Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2025-10-08Presque Isle Downs?1st1st0
2025-09-24Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0724/0922/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength87%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/07/20252nd8/158%83%+0.25
13/08/20258th9/488%0%-0.88
03/09/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
24/09/20254th5/174%25%-0.49
08/10/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
16/06/20262nd6/168%67%-0.02
22/07/20264th13/266%25%-0.41
04/08/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
19/08/20262nd9/488%80%-0.08