1
Happyisashappydoes
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 98
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 04/09/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 15/09/2025 | 4th | 8/13 | 97% | 40% | -0.57 |
| 24/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 16/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 15/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |