3
Tigre
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 93
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength1%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 82% | -0.05 |
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 55% | -0.35 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |