Garnet And Gold
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 81
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
48%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 09/08/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 07/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 20/11/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 40% | -0.54 |