Krispy Rice
7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 86
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/03/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 22/03/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 26/05/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 17/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 90% | +0.04 |
| 18/02/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |