New Age Bad Girl
7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 79
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-08-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2025-08-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 08/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 29/06/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 03/08/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 22/08/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 03/09/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 17/09/2025 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |