Ohoopee
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 75
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 27/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 22/03/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 3/10 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/11 | 98% | 83% | -0.15 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |