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7

Shakin It Up Larry

8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 92

Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 99 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/07/2025 · OR 99 par2/07C6OR 99C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 28/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 97 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/07/2025 · OR 97 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 11/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 99 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark11/08/2025 · OR 99 par11/08C8OR 99C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 15/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 97 · 6f110y 123 · below its mark15/09/2025 · OR 97 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 29/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 97 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 97 par29/09C6OR 97C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 15/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 96 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/10/2025 · OR 96 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 93 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 93 par1/06C6OR 93C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 17/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 92 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 92 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 13/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 90 par13/07C6OR 90projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Presque Isle Downs?6th5th+1
2026-06-17Presque Isle Downs?1st0th+1
2026-06-01Presque Isle Downs?3rd2nd+1
2025-10-15Presque Isle Downs?5th4th+1
2025-09-29Presque Isle Downs?5th4th+1
2025-09-15Presque Isle Downs?2nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0715/091/0613/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength34%

Delivery trend +0.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20254th10/147%25%-0.22
28/07/20257th25/10%33%+0.33
11/08/20256th15/261%17%-0.44
15/09/20252nd10/382%80%-0.02
29/09/20255th7/163%20%-0.43
15/10/20255th8/158%20%-0.38
01/06/20263rd11/271%50%-0.21
17/06/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
13/07/20266th10/147%29%-0.19