IvyArcIvyArc
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Big Run

3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 85

Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 1m 70y

#7

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 1.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f110y 12018/05C6C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 24/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 86 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 86 par24/06C6OR 86C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 84 · 6f 120 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 84 par22/07C6OR 84C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 84 · 6f 120 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 84 par18/08C5OR 84projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-07-22Presque Isle Downs?1st2nd−1
2026-06-24Presque Isle Downs?2nd3rd−1
2026-05-18Presque Isle Downs?2nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0524/0622/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength62%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/05/20262nd15/890%86%-0.04
24/06/20262nd4/696%86%-0.11
22/07/20261st2/799%100%+0.02
18/08/20262nd6/492%67%-0.25