Equinamous
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 85
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
48%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 15/09/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 24/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |