2
My Sugar Boo
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 68
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/09/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 12/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 11/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 19/03/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 01/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |