1
Prussian Blue
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 55
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 19/12/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 08/01/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 06/02/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 19/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |