5
Starship Belmont
8yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 81
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
48%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 04/08/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 15/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 09/09/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 06/10/2025 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 15/10/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 1/1 | 95% | 33% | -0.61 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |