2

Akihito

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 52

Scottsville · Join The Race Coast Turf Club Today! Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#7

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

66/1, last of 16 in maiden at this course (6f, good) 54 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Easy to look elsewhere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 14.0 /10 (raw 14.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 08/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1268/07C8C8 @ Scottsville 29/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12629/07C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Scottsville?16th16th0
2026-07-08Scottsville?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0729/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -15.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/202612th66/10%15%+0.15
29/07/202616th33/10%0%0.00