4
Captain Josh
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 72
Scottsville · Join The Race Coast Turf Club Today! Maiden Plate · 7f 210y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Scottsville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Scottsville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Scottsville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Scottsville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Scottsville | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 11/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/05/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |