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3

Joy N Hope

3yo Colt · 9-6 · OR 69

Scottsville · Join The Race Coast Turf Club Today! Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#5

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

66/1, fourth of 8 in maiden at this course (6f, good) 43 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Booking of De Melo a plus.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Greyville 20/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12320/06C8C8 @ Greyville 12/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13212/07C8C8 @ Scottsville 09/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1329/08C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Scottsville?4th4th0
2026-07-12Greyville?6th6th0
2026-06-20Greyville?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0612/079/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +28.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/06/202612th33/10%0%0.00
12/07/20266th100/10%0%0.00
09/08/20264th50/10%57%+0.57