7
Kaz From Alcatraz
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 35
Scottsville · Join The Race Coast Turf Club Today! Maiden Plate · 7f 210y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Scottsville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Greyville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Greyville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 02/05/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 30/05/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |