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6

United Tides

3yo Colt · 9-6 · OR 72

Scottsville · Join The Race Coast Turf Club Today! Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

17/2, third of 9 in maiden at this C&D (good) 54 days ago. Can make presence felt.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 23/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13223/05C8C8 @ Scottsville 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13228/06C8C8 @ Scottsville 29/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12329/07C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Scottsville?3rd3rd0
2026-06-28Scottsville?4th4th0
2026-05-23Scottsville?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0528/0629/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength98%

Delivery trend -12.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/202610th25/10%40%+0.40
28/06/20264th22/10%80%+0.80
29/07/20263rd15/261%75%+0.14