10

Ancient World

6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 74

Scottsville · Lucky Fish Aviator Class 4 · 7f 210y

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. Fourteen runs since last win in 2024. 66/1, seventh of 11 in minor event at Greyville (8f, AW). Off 103 days. First run for yard after leaving D. Zaki.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Greyville 06/10/2024 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1166/10C5C5 @ Scottsville 01/12/2024 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 5f212y GS 116C6 @ Scottsville 15/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y GS 13215/12C64 @ Greyville 18/01/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1384 @ Scottsville 08/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m154y GS 1388/024C0 @ Scottsville 11/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 6f211y GS 127C5 @ Greyville 03/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m209y Std 1413/04C54 @ Greyville 06/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m209y Std 130C5 @ Greyville 10/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Std 13610/06C5projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-10Greyville?7th8th1
2026-05-06Greyville410th10th0
2026-04-03Greyville?7th8th1
2026-03-11Scottsville?6th6th0
2026-02-08Scottsville48th8th0
2026-01-18Greyville413th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1018/013/0410/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/10/20246th50/10%55%+0.55
01/12/20246th50/10%64%+0.64
15/12/20243rd5/174%78%+0.04
18/01/202613th40/10%8%+0.08
08/02/20268th9/153%22%-0.30
11/03/20266th20/10%0%0.00
03/04/20267th7/163%14%-0.49
06/05/202610th20/10%10%+0.10
10/06/20267th40/10%40%+0.40