2
Sparrow Man
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 76
Scottsville · Lucky Fish Aviator Class 4 · 7f 210y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
27%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Scottsville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-07-19 | Scottsville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +63.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |