7
The Marquee
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 73
Scottsville · Lucky Fish Aviator Class 4 · 7f 210y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Scottsville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Scottsville | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Greyville | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Scottsville | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -6.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 12/10/2025 | 4th | 8/11 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 07/11/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 58% | -0.23 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 62% | -0.20 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |