9

Wood World

5yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 53

Scottsville · Lucky Fish Aviator Class 4 · 7f 210y

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Thirteenth of 15 in handicap (100/1) at Greyville (9f, soft) 24 days ago. Very hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength16%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 11/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m209y GS 12811/12C8C8 @ Kenilworth 05/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 132C8 @ Durbanville 26/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m3f205y Gd 13226/03C8C5 @ Kenilworth 21/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f206y GS 126C5 @ Kenilworth 21/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f153y Sft 13221/06C5C5 @ Kenilworth 22/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f206y Hvy 132C6 @ Fairview 03/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f208y GS 1213/10C6C5 @ Fairview 24/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f205y Gd 1145 @ Greyville 28/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m209y Hvy 13328/085projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Greyville513th14th1
2025-10-24Fairview?5th6th1
2025-10-03Fairview?9th11th2
2025-07-22Kenilworth?4th5th1
2025-06-21Kenilworth?3rd4th1
2025-04-21Kenilworth?6th7th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1221/043/1028/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/12/20244th5/174%67%-0.07
05/02/20253rd5/174%71%-0.02
26/03/20251st4/596%100%+0.04
21/04/20256th4/179%29%-0.50
21/06/20253rd12/137%78%+0.41
22/07/20254th4/179%57%-0.22
03/10/20259th4/179%0%-0.79
24/10/20255th3/184%33%-0.51
28/08/202613th80/10%14%+0.14