5
Capsaicin
6yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 81
Scottsville · Online Form Guide www.galloptv.co.za B Stakes · 7f 210y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Scottsville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Greyville | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Scottsville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Greyville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Scottsville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Greyville | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 31/10/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 05/12/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 26/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 11/01/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 08/04/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 78% | +0.23 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/07/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 9% | -0.38 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |