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4

Landoftherisingsun

5yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 86

Scottsville · Online Form Guide www.galloptv.co.za B Stakes · 7f 210y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

65%

Place Prob

42%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Respectable third of 9 in minor event (8/1) at Greyville (9.9f, soft) 24 days ago. Back down in trip. Booking of De Melo a plus. Has to be taken seriously.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength83%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC4 @ Durbanville 27/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASS27/09C4C3 @ Kenilworth 13/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 117 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Kenilworth 13/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 13213/01C5C5 @ Durbanville 11/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 137C1 @ Kenilworth 28/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 1m4f95y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS28/02C1C1 @ Kenilworth 03/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m209y Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASSC4 @ Greyville 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS4/07C4C1 @ Greyville 26/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Greyville 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f208y Hvy 13628/08C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Greyville?3rd3rd0
2026-07-26Greyville?7th3rd+4
2026-07-04Greyville?2nd1st+1
2026-05-03Kenilworth?8th3rd+4
2026-02-28Kenilworth?2nd-2th+4
2026-02-11Durbanville?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0911/024/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
13/12/20256th4/179%38%-0.41
13/01/20263rd9/276%78%+0.01
11/02/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
28/02/20262nd7/282%67%-0.15
03/05/20268th9/153%0%-0.53
04/07/20262nd14/126%92%+0.66
26/07/20267th14/126%54%+0.28
28/08/20263rd10/147%75%+0.28