9
Lucky Dollar
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 82
Scottsville · Online Form Guide www.galloptv.co.za B Stakes · 7f 210y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Scottsville | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Greyville | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Greyville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Greyville | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
Delivery trend +9.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |
| 07/11/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 05/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 02/01/2026 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 08/04/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/05/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 88% | +0.82 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |