Narina Trogon
7yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 93
Scottsville · Online Form Guide www.galloptv.co.za B Stakes · 7f 210y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Greyville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Greyville | BHA93 | 9th | 15th | −5 |
| 2026-01-11 | Scottsville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Greyville | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-12-05 | Greyville | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-07-27 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 3rd | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 10/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.40 |
| 05/07/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 27/07/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 05/12/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 26/12/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 11/01/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/08/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |