8
Autumn Rush
4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 49
Scottsville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Class 5 · 5f 212y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Greyville | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Greyville | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-19 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 11th | −3 |
| 2026-04-06 | Kenilworth | ? | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-03-04 | Durbanville | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 10/12/2025 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 24/12/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 06/04/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 19/05/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 12/07/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 14/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |