9
Born Of Fire
4yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 59
Scottsville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Class 5 · 5f 212y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 9.9 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Durbanville | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-16 | Kenilworth | ? | 10th | 14th | −3 |
| 2026-05-16 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-04-18 | Kenilworth | ? | 11th | 15th | −3 |
| 2026-03-30 | Kenilworth | ? | 6th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-02-22 | Kenilworth | ? | 6th | 10th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/12/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 17/01/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 04/02/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/04/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 16/06/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |