12
French War Lord
4yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 72
Scottsville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Class 5 · 5f 212y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Scottsville | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-29 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-06-14 | Scottsville | ? | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2025-05-24 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 11th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +12.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 14/06/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |