2
Gorgeous Guy
6yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 62
Scottsville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Class 5 · 5f 212y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength55%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-23 | Scottsville | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Scottsville | 4 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Greyville | 4 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Scottsville | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Scottsville | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 9-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 15/02/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 83% | +0.28 |
| 11/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 79% | +0.18 |
| 13/06/2026 | 12th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 28/06/2026 | 14th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.34 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |