4
Grue Of Ice
8yo Mare · 8-3 · OR 46
Scottsville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Class 5 · 5f 212y
#13
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Scottsville | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Scottsville | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Greyville | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Greyville | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Greyville | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Greyville | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 06/05/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.34 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 22/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 09/08/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |