11

Lions Eye

6yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 56

Scottsville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Class 5 · 5f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

6/1, seventh of 8 in minor event at Greyville (6f, AW) 31 days ago. Uphill task.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength48%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Greyville 06/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1326/0855 @ Greyville 05/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1324 @ Greyville 19/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 6f211y GS 118 · HIGHER CLASS19/1044 @ Greyville 25/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Scottsville 14/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 126 · HIGHER CLASS14/12C54 @ Greyville 02/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Greyville 13/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13013/0555 @ Scottsville 08/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 130C5 @ Greyville 21/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Std 136 · HIGHER CLASS21/08C5projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Greyville?7th6th+1
2026-07-08Scottsville511th11th0
2026-05-13Greyville511th11th0
2026-01-02Greyville44th3rd+1
2025-12-14Scottsville?5th4th+1
2025-11-25Greyville46th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0825/1113/0521/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20253rd7/491%75%-0.16
05/09/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
19/10/20252nd9/488%92%+0.04
25/11/20256th9/276%55%-0.22
14/12/20255th4/179%50%-0.29
02/01/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
13/05/202611th13/266%0%-0.66
08/07/202611th9/276%23%-0.53
21/08/20267th13/266%14%-0.52