One Irish Rover
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 65
Scottsville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Class 5 · 5f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Scottsville | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-18 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Scottsville | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Scottsville | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Scottsville | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Greyville | 5 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 11/03/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.36 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 11/04/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 8% | -0.39 |
| 29/04/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 08/07/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |