Rock Music
4yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 45
Scottsville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Class 5 · 5f 212y
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Scottsville | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Greyville | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Scottsville | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Greyville | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/12/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 30/12/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 29/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 06/02/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 27/05/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 44% | -0.40 |
| 02/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |