7
Tipperary
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 61
Scottsville · Bet With Colossus Pools Exclusive On www.tote.co.za Class 5 · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Scottsville | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-08-02 | Scottsville | ? | 9th | 13th | −3 |
| 2026-06-03 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-05-17 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-04-24 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +8.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 56% | -0.37 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 05/04/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 44% | -0.37 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.33 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 02/08/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |