11
Anatoly
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 69
Scottsville · Join The Vibe! www.socialsquad.co.za Class 4 · 5f 212y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Scottsville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-06-20 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-05-30 | Greyville | ? | 8th | 13th | −4 |
| 2026-04-29 | Scottsville | ? | 8th | 13th | −4 |
| 2026-04-05 | Scottsville | ? | 7th | 12th | −4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Scottsville | ? | 13th | 18th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +11.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/04/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 29/04/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |