2
Definitely Yes
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 52
Scottsville · Join The Vibe! www.socialsquad.co.za Class 4 · 5f 212y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-23 | Scottsville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Scottsville | 4 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Greyville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Greyville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Greyville | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength12%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 70% | -0.18 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.03 |
| 28/06/2026 | 16th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |