8
Flamethrower
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 81
Scottsville · Join The Vibe! www.socialsquad.co.za Class 4 · 5f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength18%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Scottsville | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Scottsville | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Scottsville | ? | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-03-11 | Scottsville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Scottsville | ? | 4th | 9th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 12-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -28.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 80% | +0.75 |
| 11/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 43% | -0.45 |