13

African Skyline

8yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 69

Scottsville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Middle Stakes · 4f 214y

#18

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2025. 66/1, last of 7 in minor event at this C&D (good) 22 days ago. Difficult ask.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength22%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Greyville 22/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13122/06C?C5 @ Greyville 29/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 122C5 @ Greyville 12/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 11912/10C5C5 @ Greyville 05/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 136C5 @ Greyville 14/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13614/01C5C5 @ Greyville 23/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 136C5 @ Scottsville 28/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13628/06C5C5 @ Greyville 07/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y GS 136C5 @ Scottsville 30/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13230/08C5projClass-projected finish: 18th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Scottsville?7th7th0
2026-08-07Greyville?6th6th0
2026-06-28Scottsville?10th10th0
2026-02-23Greyville?6th6th0
2026-01-14Greyville?6th6th0
2025-12-05Greyville?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/065/1228/0630/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1818% of fieldRange 8-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength21%

Delivery trend +5.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/06/202510th15/261%10%-0.51
29/08/20254th15/261%63%+0.02
12/10/20254th13/266%73%+0.07
05/12/20255th8/158%60%+0.02
14/01/20266th9/276%17%-0.60
23/02/20266th22/10%17%+0.17
28/06/202610th40/10%0%0.00
07/08/20266th66/10%38%+0.38
30/08/20267th40/10%0%0.00