4
Blazing Fury
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 89
Scottsville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Middle Stakes · 4f 214y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
70%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength70%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Scottsville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Scottsville | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Greyville | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Greyville | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 8-18 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 26/04/2026 | 15th | 22/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |