12
Bourbon Warrior
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 80
Scottsville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Middle Stakes · 4f 214y
#17
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Greyville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Scottsville | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-01-14 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Greyville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Scottsville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 186% of fieldRange 6-18 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength9%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 17th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2025 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 11% | -0.49 |
| 13/07/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 01/08/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 31/08/2025 | 9th | 5/2 | 87% | 11% | -0.76 |
| 24/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 19/12/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 38% | -0.18 |
| 14/01/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 22/07/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |