Licence To Thrill
6yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 90
Scottsville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Middle Stakes · 4f 214y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Scottsville | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Scottsville | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Scottsville | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-01-25 | Scottsville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Greyville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 31/08/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/10/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 25/01/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 26/04/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |