11
Master Josh
7yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 86
Scottsville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Middle Stakes · 4f 214y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Scottsville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Greyville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-10-22 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Greyville | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2024 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 06/08/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 29/08/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 27% | -0.44 |
| 17/09/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 13% | +0.07 |
| 24/09/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 22/10/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 30/11/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 13/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |