15
Perfume Power
4yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 49
Scottsville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Middle Stakes · 4f 214y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength30%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-18 | Scottsville | 4 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Greyville | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-11-18 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Scottsville | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-06-29 | Scottsville | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
| 2025-06-16 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 17-18 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -11.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 18/05/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 16/06/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 29/06/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 14/09/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 18/11/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 18/02/2026 | 13th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |