6
Roman Agent
5yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 71
Scottsville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Middle Stakes · 4f 214y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | -2th | +4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-30 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 9-18 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 22/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 30/01/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 89% | -0.04 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |