Winter Games
6yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 85
Scottsville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Middle Stakes · 4f 214y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Greyville | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-03-22 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Scottsville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-05 | Greyville | 3 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-11-16 | Greyville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 12/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 31/10/2025 | 12th | 4/1 | 79% | 8% | -0.71 |
| 16/11/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 05/12/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 11/01/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 30% | -0.41 |
| 22/03/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |