Printrack
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 101
Thistledown · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-02-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-01-18 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2024-11-30 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2024-10-17 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2024 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 10/08/2024 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 21/09/2024 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 17/10/2024 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 30/11/2024 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 18/01/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 09/02/2025 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |